BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Fort Dodge

Class: 4A Class Rank: 29 Conference: (6-16) Overall: (7-16) Overall Strength =   72.99

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/30/2004 Home    W *  92.20  68   48   4A   28 ( 8-16) Indianola              19.20      0.80                      
  2 12/03/2004 Away    L *  82.34  73   76   4A    9 (18- 6) Johnston                9.34    -12.34                      
  3 12/07/2004 Home    L *  67.22  61   78   4A    7 (17- 6) Des Moines Hoover      -5.77    -11.23                      
  4 12/10/2004 Home    L *  63.23  53   65   4A   23 ( 9-14) WDM Valley             -9.76     -2.24                      
  5 12/14/2004 Home    L *  73.66  51   60   4A   10 (15- 7) Des Moines Roosevelt    0.67     -9.67                      
  6 12/17/2004 Away    L *  72.30  43   54   4A   16 (16- 7) Marshalltown           -0.69    -10.31                      
  7 01/07/2005 Home    W *  75.42  66   57   4A   40 ( 5-17) Newton                  2.43      6.57                      
  8 01/08/2005 Home    W    92.84  65   46   3A   10 (19- 6) Webster City           19.85     -0.85                      
  9 01/14/2005 Away    L *  72.72  53   65   4A   14 (18- 4) Ames                   -0.28    -11.72                      
 10 01/15/2005 Home    L *  65.55  65   78   4A   18 (14-11) Ankeny                 -7.44     -5.56  was 01/11/05 now 01/15/05
 11 01/24/2005 Away    L *  63.69  59   65   4A   41 ( 5-17) Mason City             -9.30      3.30  was 01/21/05 now 01/24/05
 12 01/28/2005 Away    L *  70.57  47   55   4A   23 ( 9-14) WDM Valley             -2.42     -5.58                      
 13 02/01/2005 Home    L *  70.96  61   70   4A   16 (16- 7) Marshalltown           -2.03     -6.97                      
 14 02/04/2005 Away    W *  82.76  74   61   4A   40 ( 5-17) Newton                  9.77      3.23                      
 15 02/07/2005 Home    W *  73.20  74   68   4A   37 ( 8-14) Des Moines Lincoln      0.21      5.79  was 01/04/05 then 01/22/05 now 02/07/05
 16 02/08/2005 Away    L *  59.45  49   67   4A   25 ( 8-14) Southeast Polk        -13.55     -4.45                      
 17 02/11/2005 Home    L *  71.37  70   80   4A   14 (18- 4) Ames                   -1.62     -8.38                      
 18 02/15/2005 Away    L *  72.59  56   69   4A   12 (15- 7) Urbandale              -0.40    -12.60                      
 19 02/18/2005 Home    W *  67.35  60   59   4A   41 ( 5-17) Mason City             -5.64      6.64                      
 20 02/22/2005 Home    L *  71.35  60   77   4A    4 (19- 6) WDM Dowling            -1.64    -15.36                      
 21 02/25/2005 Away    L *  63.39  62   63   4A   45 ( 4-17) Des Moines North       -9.60      8.60                      
 22 03/01/2005 Home    W *  85.35  62   43   4A   41 ( 5-17) Mason City             12.36      6.64                      
 23 03/04/2005 Away    L *  69.30  56   70   4A   16 (16- 7) Marshalltown           -3.69    -10.31                      
      Averages              72.99  60.3 64.1

Best game:   92.84 = 19 point win over Webster City
Worst game:  59.45 = 18 point loss to Runnells Southeast Polk
Team stdev:   8.82